Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.536026 0.595447 0.659611 0.734189 0.818664 0.911583 1.021804
2025-05-25 0.429546 0.508642 0.600578 0.715924 0.857592 1.026952 1.246308
2025-06-01 0.381453 0.471363 0.581177 0.726360 0.915018 1.154286 1.484568
2025-06-08 0.340395 0.434937 0.555018 0.720563 0.945743 1.245540 1.681970
2025-06-15 0.312897 0.411488 0.541028 0.726280 0.988662 1.353505 1.910871
2025-06-22 0.284613 0.383525 0.517281 0.714670 1.004200 1.422386 2.089116
2025-06-29 0.262123 0.361042 0.498329 0.706806 1.022580 1.495014 2.278962
2025-07-06 0.236235 0.331412 0.466424 0.676471 1.003461 1.507714 2.374044
2025-07-13 0.224694 0.321360 0.461680 0.685670 1.044729 1.616801 2.637504
2025-07-20 0.214172 0.311850 0.456715 0.693607 1.084006 1.725648 2.912871
2025-07-27 0.204694 0.303101 0.452027 0.701186 1.122784 1.836701 3.205067
2025-08-03 0.195559 0.294151 0.446203 0.706123 1.157060 1.942727 3.500627
2025-08-10 0.187695 0.286843 0.442720 0.715100 1.199963 2.070048 3.857700
2025-08-17 0.175343 0.271566 0.425316 0.699024 1.197047 2.113668 4.055694
2025-08-24 0.169174 0.265884 0.423191 0.709070 1.242088 2.251382 4.465380
2025-08-31 0.160652 0.255727 0.412796 0.703439 1.257109 2.332226 4.765024
2025-09-07 0.154789 0.249634 0.408846 0.708999 1.293690 2.459311 5.184706
2025-09-14 0.146584 0.239037 0.396357 0.697706 1.296092 2.516447 5.452395
2025-09-21 0.139588 0.230121 0.386247 0.690057 1.304925 2.587694 5.763670
2025-09-28 0.129774 0.215739 0.365519 0.660547 1.266521 2.553305 5.811776
2025-10-05 0.126313 0.212425 0.364614 0.669496 1.308748 2.700327 6.338109
2025-10-12 0.122881 0.208956 0.363178 0.677218 1.348973 2.847203 6.888455
2025-10-19 0.119598 0.205566 0.361655 0.684591 1.389031 2.998116 7.475480